Preelection: General election in Honduras
Political AnalisysOn November 30, Hondurans will elect the president of the Republic for the 2026–2030 term, renew the entire National Congress (128 deputies), and choose 20 representatives to the Central American Parliament (Parlacen), among other offices. The new Congress will take office on January 25, while the new president will be sworn in on January 27.
Five candidates are running for the presidency, although only three are considered competitive. Re-election is not allowed, meaning Xiomara Castro cannot seek another term. As a result, the LIBRE Party is fielding Rixi Moncada as its candidate. From the opposition, Salvador Nasralla of the Liberal Party and Nasry Asfura of the National Party are the strongest contenders. Polls show a very tight race —all hovering around 20%— with Nasralla holding a slight lead. Mario Rivera, of the Christian Democratic Party, and Nelson Ávila, from the social-democratic sector, are also in the race.
The limited field —in contrast to 2021, when 15 presidential candidates competed— and the narrow margins between the leading contenders create an open and uncertain scenario. Adding to this is the fact that the winner is determined by simple plurality: whoever obtains the most votes wins, with no second round. In this context, the large share of undecided voters —between 20% and 35%, depending on the poll— will be decisive and could tilt the election in any direction.